First League — Russia
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:00 • Arena Khimki
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.21) 1.74 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.5% 23.7% 53.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torpedo Moskva 0 6.5% 11.3% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
1 6.5% 11.3% 9.8% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.2% 5.6% 4.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorpedo MoskvaRodina Moskva
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack43%36%
Defense79%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torpedo Moskva Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
Played101222121022
Wins30%25%27%50%40%45%
Draws30%25%27%42%40%41%
Loses40%50%45%8%20%14%

Form: Torpedo Moskva: LDLLWLLDDLLWLDDWLDWLWW • Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWLWDWWDWDWDDW

League goals

Metric Torpedo Moskva Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
GF total12719171330
GF avg1.20.60.91.41.31.4
GA total14152971017
GA avg1.41.31.30.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorpedo MoskvaRodina Moskva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%64%73%50%
1.527%41%45%14%
2.55%23%9%9%
3.50%5%5%5%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorpedo MoskvaRodina Moskva
HATHAT
Clean sheets4487411
Failed to score3710246

Penalties

MetricTorpedo MoskvaRodina Moskva
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricTorpedo MoskvaRodina Moskva
Wins14
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-01-5
Biggest losses1-43-01-34-0
Goals For3235
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricTorpedo MoskvaRodina Moskva
Form53%47%
Att55%45%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h25%75%
Goals22%78%
Total38.3%61.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rodina Moskva and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.17 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Torpedo Moskva = 0.99 (league 1.21), Rodina Moskva = 1.74 (league 1.05)

Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torpedo Moskva 0 6.5% 11.3% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
1 6.5% 11.3% 9.8% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.2% 5.6% 4.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.5% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 53.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1