First League — Russia
Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 11:00 • Volgograd Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.21) 0.63 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.8% 30.1% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotor Volgograd 0 15.4% 9.8% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.1% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRotor VolgogradUral
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack31%23%
Defense62%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rotor Volgograd Ural
HATHAT
Played101222101222
Wins60%17%36%60%50%55%
Draws10%50%32%30%17%23%
Loses30%33%32%10%33%23%

Form: Rotor Volgograd: WLDWDWLWWWDLDWLDLWLLDD • Ural: WWWWLWWDDWDLLWWWWWLDDL

League goals

Metric Rotor Volgograd Ural
HATHAT
GF total151025171330
GF avg1.50.81.11.71.11.4
GA total6121871219
GA avg0.61.00.80.71.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRotor VolgogradUral
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%45%77%55%
1.527%27%41%18%
2.518%5%14%5%
3.55%5%5%5%
4.55%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRotor VolgogradUral
HATHAT
Clean sheets75125510
Failed to score2810145

Penalties

MetricRotor VolgogradUral
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricRotor VolgogradUral
Wins35
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-64-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-25-1
Goals For3643
Goals Against2425

Model comparison

MetricRotor VolgogradUral
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h36%64%
Goals33%67%
Total46.5%53.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ural and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Pinnacle
Away2.36 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.80 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.43 @ 188Bet
No1.63 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rotor Volgograd = 1.24 (league 1.21), Ural = 0.63 (league 1.04)

Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotor Volgograd 0 15.4% 9.8% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.1% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 19.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1