First League — Russia
Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 12:00 • Stadion Shinnik
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.21) 0.53 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.9% 23.0% 11.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
2 - 0
15.4%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
FC UFA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 10.8% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 9.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.4% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShinnik YaroslavlFC UFA
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack67%33%
Defense11%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl FC UFA
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%9%27%36%0%18%
Draws27%45%36%36%36%36%
Loses27%45%36%27%64%45%

Form: Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDDWLLDDWLWDLL • FC UFA: DLWLDLWDLLDDDDLWWLLLDL

League goals

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl FC UFA
HATHAT
GF total1361915924
GF avg1.20.50.91.40.81.1
GA total81321121931
GA avg0.71.21.01.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShinnik YaroslavlFC UFA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%59%59%68%
1.523%27%32%50%
2.55%9%14%18%
3.55%0%5%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShinnik YaroslavlFC UFA
HATHAT
Clean sheets549617
Failed to score4610459

Penalties

MetricShinnik YaroslavlFC UFA
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricShinnik YaroslavlFC UFA
Wins12
Draws24
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-24-0—
Biggest losses0-23-00-43-1
Goals For4242
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricShinnik YaroslavlFC UFA
Form80%20%
Att67%33%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%38%
Total67.0%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.04 @ 1xBet
Away4.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.44 @ Pinnacle
No1.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Shinnik Yaroslavl = 1.69 (league 1.21), FC UFA = 0.53 (league 1.05)

FC UFA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 10.8% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 9.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.4% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.9% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 11.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1