Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 19:00 •
Stadio del Conero
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.51)
1.23 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.7% | 30.0% | 49.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Pistoiese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ancona | 0 | 14.7% | 18.1% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 100% |
| Attack | 67% | 100% |
| Defense | 44% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 75% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Ancona: WWWWWDWL • Pistoiese: WWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ancona | Pistoiese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 13% | 88% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 62.50% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 3 | 37.50% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Pistoiese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ancona = 0.69 (league 1.51), Pistoiese = 1.23 (league 1.01)
| Pistoiese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ancona | 0 | 14.7% | 18.1% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 49.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1