Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 01:30 • Estadio Ruben Deras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.20) 4.55 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.2% 6.4% 58.7%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.8%
1 - 5
6.2%
1 - 3
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
CD Motagua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético Choloma 0 0.3% 1.5% 3.3% 5.1% 5.7% 5.2%
1 0.4% 1.7% 4.0% 6.0% 6.8% 6.2%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.4% 3.6% 4.1% 3.7%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlético CholomaCD Motagua
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack29%71%
Defense43%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlético Choloma CD Motagua
HATHAT
Played131528161632
Wins31%0%14%38%50%44%
Draws15%20%18%44%25%34%
Loses54%80%68%19%25%22%

Form: Atlético Choloma: LDLLWLLLWLLWLDLLLLLLLDDDLLWL • CD Motagua: LLLDWWWDWDWDLWWWWDLWLLDDWDDWDWWD

League goals

Metric Atlético Choloma CD Motagua
HATHAT
GF total171027263056
GF avg1.30.71.01.61.91.8
GA total333467281745
GA avg2.52.32.41.81.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlético CholomaCD Motagua
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%96%78%78%
1.532%61%50%41%
2.54%43%25%19%
3.54%21%9%3%
4.54%7%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlético CholomaCD Motagua
HATHAT
Clean sheets011257
Failed to score5813437

Penalties

MetricAtlético CholomaCD Motagua
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricAtlético CholomaCD Motagua
Wins14
Draws32
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-01-7
Biggest losses2-76-20-43-1
Goals For5247
Goals Against7643

Model comparison

MetricAtlético CholomaCD Motagua
Form27%73%
Att29%71%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h7%93%
Goals10%90%
Total20.0%80.0%

Advice: Winner : CD Motagua

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.08 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away1.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Marathonbet
No2.10 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlético Choloma = 1.19 (league 1.20), CD Motagua = 4.55 (league 1.04)

CD Motagua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético Choloma 0 0.3% 1.5% 3.3% 5.1% 5.7% 5.2%
1 0.4% 1.7% 4.0% 6.0% 6.8% 6.2%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.4% 3.6% 4.1% 3.7%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.2% · Draw 6.4% · Away win 58.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1