A Lyga — Lithuania
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:15 • Venue TBA
Match Finished

Kauno Žalgiris

4 - 0

FK Trakai

Expected Goals
5.07 (league 1.42) 0.10 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.4% 0.9% 0.1%
best score tips
5 - 0
15.8%
4 - 0
15.6%
3 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
FK Trakai
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kauno Žalgiris 0 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.6% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.8% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Kauno Žalgiris carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 345 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kauno Žalgiris +10.9, FK Trakai +2.4.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Kauno Žalgiris Elo 1701.8 · +10.9
vs
FK Trakai Elo 1391.4 · +2.4
Elo gapKauno Žalgiris +345
Home / draw / away72% / 18% / 10%
Expected home share88%
Combined Elo3093.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3093.2
Elo home share 88%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Kauno Žalgiris FK Trakai
Overall Elo1701.81391.4
Form Elo1717.21381
Home / Away Elo1575.71417.6
Attack Elo1766.51372.3
Defense Elo1740.11321.2
Last 5 Elo change+10.9+2.4

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Kauno Žalgiris last-5 Elo change: +10.9; FK Trakai last-5 Elo change: +2.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKauno ŽalgirisFK Trakai
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack100%14%
Defense79%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 32 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kauno Žalgiris FK Trakai
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins60%100%78%0%0%0%
Draws20%0%11%50%20%33%
Loses20%0%11%50%80%67%
Kauno ŽalgirisWWWWWDWWL
FK TrakaiLLLLLDLDD

League goals

Metric Kauno Žalgiris FK Trakai
HATHAT
GF total121224213
GF avg2.43.02.70.50.20.3
GA total32551520
GA avg0.60.50.61.33.02.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKauno ŽalgirisFK Trakai
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%44%33%78%
1.567%11%0%67%
2.544%0%0%33%
3.533%0%0%22%
4.522%0%0%22%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKauno ŽalgirisFK Trakai
HATHAT
Clean sheets325112
Failed to score000246

Penalties

MetricKauno ŽalgirisFK Trakai
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricKauno ŽalgirisFK Trakai
Wins50
Draws11
Losses05

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-5——
Biggest losses1-2—0-25-0
Goals For5511
Goals Against2125

Model comparison

MetricKauno ŽalgirisFK Trakai
Form77%23%
Att88%12%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution98%2%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total84.8%15.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Trakai