Championnat National — Benin
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Buffles

—

Coton Sport Ouidah

Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.12) 0.98 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.8% 34.5% 42.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.2%
0 - 1
19.7%
1 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Coton Sport Ouidah
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buffles 0 20.2% 19.7% 9.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1%
1 12.6% 12.3% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away lean

Coton Sport Ouidah carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 26 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Buffles -32.6, Coton Sport Ouidah +22.0.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Buffles Elo 1553.6 · -32.6
vs
Coton Sport Ouidah Elo 1614.8 · +22.0
Elo gapCoton Sport Ouidah +26
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share46%
Combined Elo3168.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3168.4
Elo home share 46%
Match tone Strong Watch
Metric Buffles Coton Sport Ouidah
Overall Elo1553.61614.8
Form Elo1536.21633.6
Home / Away Elo1510.51564
Attack Elo1417.91511.6
Defense Elo1664.31634.3
Last 5 Elo change-32.6+22.0

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Buffles last-5 Elo change: -32.6; Coton Sport Ouidah last-5 Elo change: +22.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBufflesCoton Sport Ouidah
Played55
Form13%73%
Attack0%43%
Defense71%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 06 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buffles Coton Sport Ouidah
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins46%42%44%46%67%56%
Draws31%33%32%54%17%36%
Loses23%25%24%0%17%8%
BufflesDWWWWWLWDDWWLWDDLWWDDDLLL
Coton Sport OuidahWWDDWDWWDLDWDWDWLWWWDDWWW

League goals

Metric Buffles Coton Sport Ouidah
HATHAT
GF total131124141832
GF avg1.00.91.01.11.51.3
GA total78155813
GA avg0.50.70.60.40.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBufflesCoton Sport Ouidah
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%44%76%48%
1.524%12%44%4%
2.512%4%8%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBufflesCoton Sport Ouidah
HATHAT
Clean sheets77148513
Failed to score5510336

Penalties

MetricBufflesCoton Sport Ouidah
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBufflesCoton Sport Ouidah
Wins53
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-1—1-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricBufflesCoton Sport Ouidah
Form15%85%
Att0%100%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total41.8%58.2%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Buffles vs Coton Sport Ouidah