Mineiro - 1 — Brazil
Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 21:30 • Estadio Do Manduzao
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 0.99) 3.00 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 16.7% 49.9%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.1%
2 - 3
6.1%
1 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cruzeiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pouso Alegre 0 0.7% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.2% 1.3%
1 1.3% 4.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.5% 2.7%
2 1.3% 4.0% 6.1% 6.1% 4.5% 2.7%
3 0.9% 2.7% 4.1% 4.1% 3.1% 1.8%
4 0.5% 1.4% 2.1% 2.1% 1.5% 0.9%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPouso AlegreCruzeiro
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack53%35%
Defense29%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pouso Alegre Cruzeiro
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%50%50%50%75%63%
Draws0%25%13%0%0%0%
Loses50%25%38%50%25%38%
Pouso AlegreWWDLLLWW
CruzeiroLWWLLWWW

League goals

Metric Pouso Alegre Cruzeiro
HATHAT
GF total86148614
GF avg2.01.51.82.01.51.8
GA total8614347
GA avg2.01.51.80.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePouso AlegreCruzeiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%88%63%
1.563%38%50%25%
2.525%38%13%0%
3.50%25%13%0%
4.50%13%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPouso AlegreCruzeiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricPouso AlegreCruzeiro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPouso AlegreCruzeiro
Wins22
Draws10
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-25-01-2
Biggest losses1-35-21-22-1
Goals For3252
Goals Against4522

Model comparison

MetricPouso AlegreCruzeiro
Form40%60%
Att60%40%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h60%40%
Goals38%62%
Total44.5%55.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.00 @ Fonbet
Draw4.50 @ Betfair
Away1.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.65 @ Betano
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League standings

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