Mineiro - 1 — Brazil
Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 21:00 • MRV Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 0.99) 0.64 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.4% 33.8% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 0
19.2%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
America Mineiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico-MG 0 19.2% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico-MGAmerica Mineiro
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack100%45%
Defense45%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico-MG America Mineiro
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%50%38%75%25%50%
Draws75%50%63%25%50%38%
Loses0%0%0%0%25%13%
Atletico-MGDDDDWWDW
America MineiroWWDDDWLW

League goals

Metric Atletico-MG America Mineiro
HATHAT
GF total412167310
GF avg1.03.02.01.80.81.3
GA total358246
GA avg0.81.31.00.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico-MGAmerica Mineiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%88%63%
1.538%13%25%13%
2.525%0%13%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico-MGAmerica Mineiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricAtletico-MGAmerica Mineiro
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAtletico-MGAmerica Mineiro
Wins22
Draws43
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-73-00-1
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For2731
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricAtletico-MGAmerica Mineiro
Form58%42%
Att74%26%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h38%62%
Goals58%42%
Total56.8%43.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Betano
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ Unibet
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League standings

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