Super League
— China
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.78)
0.67 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7% | 14.1% | 7.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.9%
3 - 0
11.1%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Shenyang Urban | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | 0 | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Shenyang Urban carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 158 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sichuan Jiuniu -19.5, Shenyang Urban -15.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Sichuan Jiuniu
vs
Shenyang Urban
Elo gapShenyang Urban +158
Home / draw / away24% / 18% / 58%
Expected home share29%
Combined Elo3010.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3010.6
Elo home share
29%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shenyang Urban |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1408.7 | 1601.9 |
| Form Elo | 1396.3 | 1574.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1484.6 | 1536.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1475.7 | 1626.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1362.2 | 1596.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -19.5 | -15.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sichuan Jiuniu last-5 Elo change: -19.5; Shenyang Urban last-5 Elo change: -15.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shenyang Urban |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 89% | 78% |
| Defense | 0% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shenyang Urban | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 29% | 67% | 0% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 71% | 33% | 75% | 57% |
Sichuan JiuniuLWLWLLL
Shenyang UrbanLLWWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shenyang Urban | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shenyang Urban | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 86% | 57% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 57% | 29% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 29% | 14% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 29% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shenyang Urban | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shenyang Urban |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shenyang Urban |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shenyang Urban |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 89% | 11% |
| Total | 63.2% | 37.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.70 @ Dafabet
Draw3.40 @ Dafabet
Away2.70 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.82 @ Betano
No1.95 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
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