Super League
— China
Fri, May 1 2026 • 11:35 •
Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.79)
1.11 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.7% | 24.2% | 25.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Wuhan Three Towns | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tianjin Teda | 0 | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Tianjin Teda carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 137 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Tianjin Teda +13.9, Wuhan Three Towns -14.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Tianjin Teda
vs
Wuhan Three Towns
Elo gapTianjin Teda +137
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share69%
Combined Elo2885.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2885.3
Elo home share
69%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Tianjin Teda | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1493.8 | 1391.5 |
| Form Elo | 1497 | 1389.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1504.1 | 1428 |
| Attack Elo | 1475.7 | 1435.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1528 | 1332.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +13.9 | -14.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Tianjin Teda last-5 Elo change: +13.9; Wuhan Three Towns last-5 Elo change: -14.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tianjin Teda | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 69% | 31% |
| Defense | 50% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tianjin Teda | Wuhan Three Towns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
Tianjin TedaDLLLDWLW
Wuhan Three TownsLWDLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Tianjin Teda | Wuhan Three Towns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tianjin Teda | Wuhan Three Towns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 75% | 63% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 50% | 38% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 13% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tianjin Teda | Wuhan Three Towns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tianjin Teda | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tianjin Teda | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tianjin Teda | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 63.3% | 36.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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