Super League — China
Sat, May 2 2026 • 11:00 • Qingdao Youth Football Stadium
Not Started

Qingdao Jonoon

—

SHANGHAI SIPG

Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.79) 0.29 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.0% 40.8% 12.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.4%
1 - 0
27.1%
2 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
SHANGHAI SIPG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qingdao Jonoon 0 32.4% 9.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.1% 7.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.3% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away lean

SHANGHAI SIPG carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 35 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Qingdao Jonoon +27.5, SHANGHAI SIPG +3.7.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Qingdao Jonoon Elo 1455.9 · +27.5
vs
SHANGHAI SIPG Elo 1525.7 · +3.7
Elo gapSHANGHAI SIPG +35
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share45%
Combined Elo2981.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2981.6
Elo home share 45%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Qingdao Jonoon SHANGHAI SIPG
Overall Elo1455.91525.7
Form Elo1462.11521.7
Home / Away Elo1494.21532
Attack Elo1456.81599.2
Defense Elo14811446.3
Last 5 Elo change+27.5+3.7

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Qingdao Jonoon last-5 Elo change: +27.5; SHANGHAI SIPG last-5 Elo change: +3.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQingdao JonoonSHANGHAI SIPG
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack40%53%
Defense73%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qingdao Jonoon SHANGHAI SIPG
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%0%25%60%0%38%
Draws25%25%25%0%33%13%
Loses25%75%50%40%67%50%
Qingdao JonoonLLLWDDLW
SHANGHAI SIPGLWLWLDLW

League goals

Metric Qingdao Jonoon SHANGHAI SIPG
HATHAT
GF total62812113
GF avg1.50.51.02.40.31.6
GA total5712639
GA avg1.31.81.51.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQingdao JonoonSHANGHAI SIPG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%75%88%
1.513%38%38%25%
2.513%25%25%0%
3.513%13%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQingdao JonoonSHANGHAI SIPG
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricQingdao JonoonSHANGHAI SIPG
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricQingdao JonoonSHANGHAI SIPG
Wins11
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—4-0—
Biggest losses1-43-11-21-0
Goals For4141
Goals Against4321

Model comparison

MetricQingdao JonoonSHANGHAI SIPG
Form53%47%
Att43%57%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%100%
Goals15%85%
Total47.2%52.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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