Super League
— China
Sat, May 2 2026 • 11:35 •
Huizhou Olympic Stadium
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.79)
0.11 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.9% | 30.5% | 3.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
32.3%
0 - 0
26.8%
2 - 0
19.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Sichuan Jiuniu | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hangzhou Greentown | 0 | 26.8% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 32.3% | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Hangzhou Greentown carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 98 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Hangzhou Greentown -48.0, Sichuan Jiuniu +2.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Hangzhou Greentown
vs
Sichuan Jiuniu
Elo gapHangzhou Greentown +98
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo2910.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2910.4
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Hangzhou Greentown | Sichuan Jiuniu |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1486.5 | 1423.9 |
| Form Elo | 1466.1 | 1425.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1523 | 1424.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1560.8 | 1474.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1423.3 | 1377.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -48.0 | +2.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Hangzhou Greentown last-5 Elo change: -48.0; Sichuan Jiuniu last-5 Elo change: +2.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hangzhou Greentown | Sichuan Jiuniu |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 40% |
| Attack | 0% | 60% |
| Defense | 33% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hangzhou Greentown | Sichuan Jiuniu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 25% | 25% | 60% | 0% | 38% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 25% | 75% | 50% | 40% | 100% | 63% |
Hangzhou GreentownWDWLLDLL
Sichuan JiuniuLWLWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Hangzhou Greentown | Sichuan Jiuniu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hangzhou Greentown | Sichuan Jiuniu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 75% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 13% | 13% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hangzhou Greentown | Sichuan Jiuniu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hangzhou Greentown | Sichuan Jiuniu |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hangzhou Greentown | Sichuan Jiuniu |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 5-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 3-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hangzhou Greentown | Sichuan Jiuniu |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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