Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 12:30 • Stadiumi Loni Papuciu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.30) 1.94 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.3% 21.8% 57.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apolonia Fier 0 5.2% 10.1% 9.8% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2%
1 5.3% 10.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.7% 5.2% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricApolonia FierPogradeci
Played55
Form13%87%
Attack44%100%
Defense11%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Apolonia Fier Pogradeci
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins27%25%26%58%55%57%
Draws36%17%26%25%36%30%
Loses36%58%48%17%9%13%

Form: Apolonia Fier: LDWWDDLWDLLWWWLLLLDLDLL • Pogradeci: DDWLWLDWWWLWDDWWWDWWDWW

League goals

Metric Apolonia Fier Pogradeci
HATHAT
GF total12921181937
GF avg1.10.80.91.51.71.6
GA total13142761319
GA avg1.21.21.20.51.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineApolonia FierPogradeci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%65%70%57%
1.535%39%57%22%
2.50%13%26%4%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricApolonia FierPogradeci
HATHAT
Clean sheets5388210
Failed to score4610437

Penalties

MetricApolonia FierPogradeci
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricApolonia FierPogradeci
Wins33
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-02-4
Biggest losses0-32-02-32-0
Goals For2244
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricApolonia FierPogradeci
Form13%87%
Att22%78%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total28.7%71.5%

Advice: Winner : Pogradeci

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ Bet365
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away1.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.60 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Apolonia Fier = 1.02 (league 1.30), Pogradeci = 1.94 (league 1.05)

Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apolonia Fier 0 5.2% 10.1% 9.8% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2%
1 5.3% 10.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.7% 5.2% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 57.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1