Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.30) 1.69 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 23.4% 42.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Besa Kavajë 0 4.2% 7.1% 6.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.2% 10.5% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.8% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBesa KavajëPogradeci
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack40%87%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Besa Kavajë Pogradeci
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins42%23%32%62%58%60%
Draws42%15%28%23%33%28%
Loses17%62%40%15%8%12%

Form: Besa Kavajë: DDLLDLDLWWDLWLWWWDLLDLLWW • Pogradeci: DDWLWLDWWWLWDDWWWDWWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Besa Kavajë Pogradeci
HATHAT
GF total191029222143
GF avg1.60.81.21.71.81.7
GA total12162871421
GA avg1.01.21.10.51.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBesa KavajëPogradeci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%76%72%60%
1.528%32%60%20%
2.516%4%28%4%
3.50%0%12%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBesa KavajëPogradeci
HATHAT
Clean sheets3368210
Failed to score167437

Penalties

MetricBesa KavajëPogradeci
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBesa KavajëPogradeci
Wins33
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-34-02-4
Biggest losses2-32-02-32-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricBesa KavajëPogradeci
Form35%65%
Att32%68%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pogradeci

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.40 @ 1xBet
Draw4.93 @ 1xBet
Away1.29 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Besa Kavajë = 1.48 (league 1.30), Pogradeci = 1.69 (league 1.06)

Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Besa Kavajë 0 4.2% 7.1% 6.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.2% 10.5% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.8% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 42.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1