Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 14:00 • Liri Ballabani Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.30) 1.02 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.9% 32.2% 38.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.0%
0 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burreli 0 15.7% 16.0% 8.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.3% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurreliPogradeci
Played55
Form20%100%
Attack9%65%
Defense74%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.415 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burreli Pogradeci
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins36%23%30%64%62%63%
Draws43%23%33%21%31%26%
Loses21%54%37%14%8%11%

Form: Burreli: LWDWDLWLDDWLLWLDWWLWDLDLDDL • Pogradeci: DDWLWLDWWWLWDDWWWDWWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Burreli Pogradeci
HATHAT
GF total12921252449
GF avg0.90.70.81.81.81.8
GA total9233271623
GA avg0.61.81.20.51.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurreliPogradeci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%56%74%59%
1.526%37%63%22%
2.50%15%33%4%
3.50%7%11%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurreliPogradeci
HATHAT
Clean sheets93129211
Failed to score6713437

Penalties

MetricBurreliPogradeci
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricBurreliPogradeci
Wins23
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-02-4
Biggest losses0-34-02-32-0
Goals For2244
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricBurreliPogradeci
Form17%83%
Att12%88%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%38%
Total39.5%60.7%

Advice: Winner : Pogradeci

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home20.00 @ Marathonbet
Draw6.50 @ Bet365
Away1.16 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Betano
Under 2.52.46 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.47 @ Marathonbet
No1.46 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burreli = 0.83 (league 1.30), Pogradeci = 1.02 (league 1.06)

Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burreli 0 15.7% 16.0% 8.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.3% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.9% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 38.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1