Carioca - 1
— Brazil
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 21:00 •
Estádio do Maracanã
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.30)
0.77 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.2% | 40.6% | 39.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
29.2%
0 - 1
22.4%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Vasco DA Gama | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fluminense | 0 | 29.2% | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fluminense | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 67% |
| Attack | 89% | 78% |
| Defense | 78% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fluminense | Vasco DA Gama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 75% | 88% | 60% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
FluminenseWLWWWWWW
Vasco DA GamaWDLWDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Fluminense | Vasco DA Gama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fluminense | Vasco DA Gama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 13% | 50% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fluminense | Vasco DA Gama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fluminense | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fluminense | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fluminense | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.05 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.96 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Betano
Under 2.51.62 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…