Paulista - A1
— Brazil
Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.18)
0.28 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 82.4% | 9.3% | 2.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
18.3%
3 - 0
16.8%
1 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Santos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novorizontino | 0 | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.3% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Novorizontino | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 45% | 45% |
| Defense | 75% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Novorizontino | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 25% | 63% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
NovorizontinoLWWWWDWL
SantosWLDDDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Novorizontino | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Novorizontino | Santos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 38% | 38% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Novorizontino | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Novorizontino | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Novorizontino | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 3-4 | 6-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Novorizontino | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.12 @ Pinnacle
Away2.40 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.72 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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