FA Cup — England
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:30 • Elland Road
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.76) 2.75 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.5% 16.7% 59.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 3
7.6%
1 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Norwich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 1.5% 4.2% 5.8% 5.4% 3.7% 2.0%
1 2.2% 6.0% 8.3% 7.6% 5.2% 2.9%
2 1.6% 4.3% 5.9% 5.4% 3.7% 2.0%
3 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0%
4 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeedsNorwich
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack33%53%
Defense87%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.58 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leeds Norwich
HATHAT
Played022202
Wins—100%100%100%—100%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%0%—0%

Form: Leeds: WW • Norwich: WW

League goals

Metric Leeds Norwich
HATHAT
GF total055808
GF avg0.02.52.54.00.04.0
GA total022202
GA avg0.01.01.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeedsNorwich
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.550%0%100%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeedsNorwich
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLeedsNorwich
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLeedsNorwich
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-35-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For0350
Goals Against0110

Model comparison

MetricLeedsNorwich
Form50%50%
Att38%62%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h85%15%
Goals89%11%
Total62.4%37.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Leeds or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 1xBet
Draw4.25 @ Marathonbet
Away6.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leeds = 1.42 (league 1.76), Norwich = 2.75 (league 1.45)

Norwich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 1.5% 4.2% 5.8% 5.4% 3.7% 2.0%
1 2.2% 6.0% 8.3% 7.6% 5.2% 2.9%
2 1.6% 4.3% 5.9% 5.4% 3.7% 2.0%
3 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0%
4 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 59.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1