Sat, May 2 2026 • 04:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.69)
2.52 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.5% | 18.4% | 55.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
7.2%
1 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Belmont Swansea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lambton Jaffas | 0 | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Lambton Jaffas carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 80 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Lambton Jaffas -36.3, Belmont Swansea +47.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Lambton Jaffas
vs
Belmont Swansea
Elo gapLambton Jaffas +80
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo3026.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3026.7
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Lambton Jaffas | Belmont Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1535.8 | 1490.9 |
| Form Elo | 1514.4 | 1517.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1487.7 | 1509.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1628.2 | 1609.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1511.3 | 1366 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -36.3 | +47.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Lambton Jaffas last-5 Elo change: -36.3; Belmont Swansea last-5 Elo change: +47.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lambton Jaffas | Belmont Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 28% | 64% |
| Defense | 68% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
88%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lambton Jaffas | Belmont Swansea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Wins | 17% | 50% | 25% | 57% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 25% | 14% | 50% | 22% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 22% |
Lambton JaffasWDLDLLLW
Belmont SwanseaWWLLDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Lambton Jaffas | Belmont Swansea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 3 | 20 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lambton Jaffas | Belmont Swansea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 88% | 100% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 63% | 100% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 33% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 13% | 22% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 13% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lambton Jaffas | Belmont Swansea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lambton Jaffas | Belmont Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lambton Jaffas | Belmont Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 2-1 | 2-4 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lambton Jaffas | Belmont Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 52.2% | 47.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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