Queensland NPL — Australia
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 07:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Brisbane City

—

WDSC Wolves

Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.67) 4.41 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.2% 8.6% 55.6%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.3%
1 - 3
5.7%
1 - 5
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
WDSC Wolves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brisbane City 0 0.3% 1.1% 2.5% 3.7% 4.0% 3.6%
1 0.4% 1.8% 3.9% 5.7% 6.3% 5.5%
2 0.3% 1.4% 3.0% 4.4% 4.9% 4.3%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.6% 2.3% 2.5% 2.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Brisbane City carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 37 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Brisbane City -10.9, WDSC Wolves -50.2.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Brisbane City Elo 1499.3 · -10.9
vs
WDSC Wolves Elo 1497 · -50.2
Elo gapBrisbane City +37
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo2996.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2996.3
Elo home share 55%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Brisbane City WDSC Wolves
Overall Elo1499.31497
Form Elo1495.11482.6
Home / Away Elo1482.81528.4
Attack Elo1631.41602.5
Defense Elo1349.91402.7
Last 5 Elo change-10.9-50.2

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Brisbane City last-5 Elo change: -10.9; WDSC Wolves last-5 Elo change: -50.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrisbane CityWDSC Wolves
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack67%28%
Defense22%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.815 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brisbane City WDSC Wolves
HATHAT
Played628538
Wins17%50%25%20%67%38%
Draws50%50%50%40%0%25%
Loses33%0%25%40%33%38%
Brisbane CityWWLLDDDD
WDSC WolvesWWWDLDLL

League goals

Metric Brisbane City WDSC Wolves
HATHAT
GF total125176814
GF avg2.02.52.11.22.71.8
GA total1732012416
GA avg2.81.52.52.41.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrisbane CityWDSC Wolves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%100%75%75%
1.588%75%63%50%
2.525%38%38%38%
3.513%38%0%25%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrisbane CityWDSC Wolves
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricBrisbane CityWDSC Wolves
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBrisbane CityWDSC Wolves
Wins23
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-4—0-53-2
Goals For4333
Goals Against4253

Model comparison

MetricBrisbane CityWDSC Wolves
Form67%33%
Att71%29%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h29%71%
Goals47%53%
Total49.5%50.5%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ Dafabet
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away3.05 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ Bet365
No3.12 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365
📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Brisbane City vs WDSC Wolves