Queensland Premier League — Australia
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 09:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Logan Lightning

—

Broadbeach United

Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.96) 3.78 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 11.8% 57.9%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.5%
1 - 4
6.2%
2 - 3
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Broadbeach United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Logan Lightning 0 0.4% 1.7% 3.1% 4.0% 3.7% 2.8%
1 0.7% 2.7% 5.2% 6.5% 6.2% 4.7%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.3% 5.4% 5.1% 3.8%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.3% 2.9% 2.8% 2.1%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

Broadbeach United carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 114 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Logan Lightning -43.9, Broadbeach United +24.3.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Logan Lightning Elo 1491.7 · -43.9
vs
Broadbeach United Elo 1640.4 · +24.3
Elo gapBroadbeach United +114
Home / draw / away28% / 18% / 54%
Expected home share34%
Combined Elo3132.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3132.1
Elo home share 34%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Logan Lightning Broadbeach United
Overall Elo1491.71640.4
Form Elo1467.11671.8
Home / Away Elo1534.61561.6
Attack Elo1598.61738
Defense Elo13821550.7
Last 5 Elo change-43.9+24.3

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Logan Lightning last-5 Elo change: -43.9; Broadbeach United last-5 Elo change: +24.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLogan LightningBroadbeach United
Played55
Form13%87%
Attack37%68%
Defense26%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

62%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Logan Lightning Broadbeach United
HATHAT
Played358358
Wins33%20%25%67%100%88%
Draws33%20%25%33%0%13%
Loses33%60%50%0%0%0%
Logan LightningLWWDDLLL
Broadbeach UnitedWWWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Logan Lightning Broadbeach United
HATHAT
GF total771451924
GF avg2.31.41.81.73.83.0
GA total512173710
GA avg1.72.42.11.01.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLogan LightningBroadbeach United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%88%88%
1.563%63%88%38%
2.525%25%63%0%
3.513%25%38%0%
4.50%13%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLogan LightningBroadbeach United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricLogan LightningBroadbeach United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLogan LightningBroadbeach United
Wins23
Draws21
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-21-5
Biggest losses2-45-2——
Goals For4335
Goals Against4522

Model comparison

MetricLogan LightningBroadbeach United
Form13%87%
Att35%65%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h36%64%
Goals57%43%
Total34.3%65.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.06 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.37 @ Betano
No3.00 @ BetVictor
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League standings

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League page • Country page • Logan Lightning vs Broadbeach United