Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:30 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.65) 2.30 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.5% 16.4% 72.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.1%
0 - 1
12.3%
0 - 3
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mgarr United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marsa 0 5.3% 12.3% 14.1% 10.8% 6.2% 2.9%
1 3.4% 7.7% 8.9% 6.8% 3.9% 1.8%
2 1.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.6%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarsaMgarr United
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack33%61%
Defense44%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marsa Mgarr United
HATHAT
Played97168816
Wins0%29%13%38%50%44%
Draws33%29%31%13%38%25%
Loses67%43%56%50%13%31%

Form: Marsa: LWLDDLLWLLLDLDLD • Mgarr United: WWLLWDWLDLWWDLDW

League goals

Metric Marsa Mgarr United
HATHAT
GF total12820201333
GF avg1.31.11.32.51.62.1
GA total2283018624
GA avg2.41.11.92.30.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarsaMgarr United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%94%88%69%
1.544%56%50%38%
2.50%31%38%31%
3.50%6%19%13%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarsaMgarr United
HATHAT
Clean sheets011235
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricMarsaMgarr United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMarsaMgarr United
Wins12
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-25-00-4
Biggest losses1-43-21-41-0
Goals For2254
Goals Against4342

Model comparison

MetricMarsaMgarr United
Form27%73%
Att35%65%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total40.0%60.2%

Advice: Winner : Mgarr United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ Marathonbet
Away2.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.44 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marsa = 0.63 (league 1.65), Mgarr United = 2.30 (league 1.67)

Mgarr United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marsa 0 5.3% 12.3% 14.1% 10.8% 6.2% 2.9%
1 3.4% 7.7% 8.9% 6.8% 3.9% 1.8%
2 1.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.6%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.5% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 72.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1