Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:00 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.03 (league 1.65) 2.48 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.2% 16.8% 28.6%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.8%
2 - 2
5.7%
3 - 3
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
Vittoriosa Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mgarr United 0 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.1% 1.9% 1.0%
2 1.9% 4.6% 5.7% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4%
3 1.9% 4.7% 5.8% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5%
4 1.4% 3.5% 4.4% 3.6% 2.2% 1.1%
5 0.9% 2.1% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMgarr UnitedVittoriosa Stars
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack79%43%
Defense64%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mgarr United Vittoriosa Stars
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins38%60%50%20%25%22%
Draws13%30%22%30%25%28%
Loses50%10%28%50%50%50%

Form: Mgarr United: WWLLWDWLDLWWDLDWWW • Vittoriosa Stars: LLWLLWLLLWLDDDLDWD

League goals

Metric Mgarr United Vittoriosa Stars
HATHAT
GF total20173781422
GF avg2.51.72.10.81.81.2
GA total18725121628
GA avg2.30.71.41.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMgarr UnitedVittoriosa Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%67%89%
1.556%33%39%39%
2.533%28%11%22%
3.517%11%6%6%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMgarr UnitedVittoriosa Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets246112
Failed to score022426

Penalties

MetricMgarr UnitedVittoriosa Stars
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMgarr UnitedVittoriosa Stars
Wins21
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-42-10-4
Biggest losses1-41-00-24-1
Goals For5424
Goals Against4234

Model comparison

MetricMgarr UnitedVittoriosa Stars
Form63%38%
Att65%35%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total59.8%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Mgarr United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away3.61 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.27 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.29 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mgarr United = 3.03 (league 1.65), Vittoriosa Stars = 2.48 (league 1.67)

Vittoriosa Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mgarr United 0 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.1% 1.9% 1.0%
2 1.9% 4.6% 5.7% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4%
3 1.9% 4.7% 5.8% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5%
4 1.4% 3.5% 4.4% 3.6% 2.2% 1.1%
5 0.9% 2.1% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.2% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 28.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1