Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 18:45 •
Victor Tedesco Stadium
Expected Goals
2.66 (league 1.64)
2.15 (league 1.66)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.6% | 18.2% | 29.6% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.7%
2 - 1
6.2%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Santa Lucía | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mgarr United | 0 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mgarr United | Santa Lucía |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 33% |
| Attack | 67% | 33% |
| Defense | 87% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mgarr United | Santa Lucía | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 60% | 47% | 20% | 33% | 26% |
| Draws | 22% | 30% | 26% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Loses | 44% | 10% | 26% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
Form: Mgarr United: WWLLWDWLDLWWDLDWWWD • Santa Lucía: WLDWLDLLWDDDDWLDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Mgarr United | Santa Lucía | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 17 | 38 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 19 | 7 | 26 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mgarr United | Santa Lucía | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 68% | 74% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 32% | 42% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 26% | 16% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 11% | 11% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mgarr United | Santa Lucía | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mgarr United | Santa Lucía |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mgarr United | Santa Lucía |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 7-0 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mgarr United | Santa Lucía |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Mgarr United or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mgarr United = 2.66 (league 1.64), Santa Lucía = 2.15 (league 1.66)
| Santa Lucía | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mgarr United | 0 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.6% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 29.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1