Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 14:30 •
Victor Tedesco Stadium
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.63)
1.08 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.7% | 27.8% | 31.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Zurrieq | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Lucía | 0 | 9.5% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Zurrieq |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 33% | 73% |
| Defense | 67% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Zurrieq | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| Wins | 20% | 30% | 25% | 22% | 45% | 35% |
| Draws | 50% | 40% | 45% | 33% | 0% | 15% |
| Loses | 30% | 30% | 30% | 44% | 55% | 50% |
Form: Santa Lucía: WLDWLDLLWDDDDWLDWDLD • Zurrieq: WLLLWLWLWLDLDLLWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Zurrieq | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 16 | 32 | 15 | 17 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 12 | 18 | 30 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Lucía | Zurrieq | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 80% | 85% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 45% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 5% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Zurrieq | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Zurrieq |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Zurrieq |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 3-5 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Zurrieq |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Zurrieq
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Lucía = 1.28 (league 1.63), Zurrieq = 1.08 (league 1.67)
| Zurrieq | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Lucía | 0 | 9.5% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 31.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1