Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 22:00 • Stade El Bachir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.14) 1.57 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.6% 24.0% 39.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
USM Oujda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chabab Mohammédia 0 4.7% 7.4% 5.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.0% 11.0% 8.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.2% 8.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.6% 4.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChabab MohammédiaUSM Oujda
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack40%80%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chabab Mohammédia USM Oujda
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins57%22%38%25%25%25%
Draws14%33%25%50%25%38%
Loses29%44%38%25%50%38%

Form: Chabab Mohammédia: WDWWWLDLLDLLLWWD • USM Oujda: LDDDLLLLWWLDWWDD

League goals

Metric Chabab Mohammédia USM Oujda
HATHAT
GF total96159817
GF avg1.30.70.91.11.01.1
GA total9101991019
GA avg1.31.11.21.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChabab MohammédiaUSM Oujda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%69%56%75%
1.513%25%31%38%
2.56%19%19%6%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChabab MohammédiaUSM Oujda
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score134347

Penalties

MetricChabab MohammédiaUSM Oujda
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChabab MohammédiaUSM Oujda
Wins32
Draws13
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-32-0
Goals For3133
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricChabab MohammédiaUSM Oujda
Form44%56%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or USM Oujda

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away3.56 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chabab Mohammédia = 1.49 (league 1.14), USM Oujda = 1.57 (league 0.83)

USM Oujda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chabab Mohammédia 0 4.7% 7.4% 5.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.0% 11.0% 8.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.2% 8.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.6% 4.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.6% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 39.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1