Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.25)
0.70 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.4% | 23.7% | 15.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Llaneros W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente Medellín W | 0 | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Llaneros W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 44% |
| Attack | 44% | 22% |
| Defense | 67% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
33%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Llaneros W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Independiente Medellín W: LWD • Llaneros W: WDL
League goals
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Llaneros W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independiente Medellín W | Llaneros W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Llaneros W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Llaneros W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Llaneros W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Llaneros W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 56.2% | 43.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Independiente Medellín W or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Independiente Medellín W = 1.68 (league 1.25), Llaneros W = 0.70 (league 1.01)
| Llaneros W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente Medellín W | 0 | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.4% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 15.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1