Tue, Mar 31 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Expected Goals
4.02 (league 1.24)
0.35 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
best score tips
4 - 0
13.8%
3 - 0
13.8%
5 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Pasto W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente Medellín W | 0 | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.8% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Deportivo Pasto W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 86% | 57% |
| Defense | 29% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Deportivo Pasto W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 50% | 67% | 60% |
Form: Independiente Medellín W: LWDWL • Deportivo Pasto W: LLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Deportivo Pasto W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independiente Medellín W | Deportivo Pasto W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Deportivo Pasto W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Deportivo Pasto W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Deportivo Pasto W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Deportivo Pasto W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Advice: Winner : Independiente Medellín W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Independiente Medellín W = 4.02 (league 1.24), Deportivo Pasto W = 0.35 (league 1.01)
| Deportivo Pasto W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente Medellín W | 0 | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.8% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.5% · Draw 3.7% · Away win 1.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1