Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 18:00 •
Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.25)
1.28 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.3% | 29.1% | 49.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.1%
0 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Stade Malien Bamako | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 13.3% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Stade Malien Bamako |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 55% | 45% |
| Defense | 55% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Stade Malien Bamako | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 75% | 25% | 50% | 100% | 20% | 60% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 38% | 0% | 60% | 30% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Form: Mamelodi Sundowns: WWWDDLDW • Stade Malien Bamako: WWDWDWWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Stade Malien Bamako | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mamelodi Sundowns | Stade Malien Bamako | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 70% | 30% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Stade Malien Bamako | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Stade Malien Bamako |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Stade Malien Bamako |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Stade Malien Bamako |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Stade Malien Bamako and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mamelodi Sundowns = 0.73 (league 1.25), Stade Malien Bamako = 1.28 (league 0.75)
| Stade Malien Bamako | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 13.3% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.3% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 49.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1