Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 16:00 • Stade du 26 Mars
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.26) 0.47 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.8% 26.8% 12.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.4%
2 - 0
15.3%
0 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Malien Bamako 0 14.9% 7.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.4% 10.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade Malien BamakoMamelodi Sundowns
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack27%82%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Malien Bamako Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Played5611549
Wins100%17%55%80%25%56%
Draws0%50%27%20%50%33%
Loses0%33%18%0%25%11%

Form: Stade Malien Bamako: WWDWDWWDWLL • Mamelodi Sundowns: WWWDDLDWW

League goals

Metric Stade Malien Bamako Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
GF total961512719
GF avg1.81.01.42.41.82.1
GA total156347
GA avg0.20.80.50.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade Malien BamakoMamelodi Sundowns
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%36%89%56%
1.545%9%67%22%
2.59%9%33%0%
3.59%0%11%0%
4.59%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade Malien BamakoMamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Clean sheets437314
Failed to score044011

Penalties

MetricStade Malien BamakoMamelodi Sundowns
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricStade Malien BamakoMamelodi Sundowns
Wins23
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-53-01-5
Biggest losses—3-0—2-1
Goals For2535
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricStade Malien BamakoMamelodi Sundowns
Form47%53%
Att25%75%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total50.8%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mamelodi Sundowns

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.06 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ 10Bet
Away2.27 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.83 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stade Malien Bamako = 1.43 (league 1.26), Mamelodi Sundowns = 0.47 (league 0.77)

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Malien Bamako 0 14.9% 7.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.4% 10.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 12.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1