Tue, Mar 24 2026 • 20:00 • Emirates Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.82) 1.92 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.6% 20.8% 65.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
0 - 2
13.5%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal W 0 7.3% 14.1% 13.5% 8.7% 4.2% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.7% 9.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.8% 3.4% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal WChelsea W
Played55
Form100%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense85%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.619 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal W Chelsea W
HATHAT
Played448336
Wins75%75%75%67%67%67%
Draws0%0%0%33%33%33%
Loses25%25%25%0%0%0%

Form: Arsenal W: LWLWWWWW • Chelsea W: DWWDWW

League goals

Metric Arsenal W Chelsea W
HATHAT
GF total7111811920
GF avg1.82.82.33.73.03.3
GA total437123
GA avg1.00.80.90.30.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal WChelsea W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%50%
1.575%25%67%0%
2.538%13%50%0%
3.513%0%50%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal WChelsea W
HATHAT
Clean sheets134213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricArsenal WChelsea W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricArsenal WChelsea W
Wins12
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-46-00-6
Biggest losses1-23-2——
Goals For3466
Goals Against2311

Model comparison

MetricArsenal WChelsea W
Form54%46%
Att41%59%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelsea W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.06 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Betano
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal W = 0.69 (league 1.82), Chelsea W = 1.92 (league 1.56)

Chelsea W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal W 0 7.3% 14.1% 13.5% 8.7% 4.2% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.7% 9.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.8% 3.4% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 65.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1