Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 16:45 • Spotify Camp Nou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.24 (league 1.86) 0.82 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.6% 10.4% 6.0%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.8%
2 - 0
9.1%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona W 0 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.1% 7.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.8% 8.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.9% 6.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.1% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelona WReal Madrid W
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack71%48%
Defense81%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 310 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona W Real Madrid W
HATHAT
Played3476511
Wins100%75%86%67%60%64%
Draws0%25%14%17%20%18%
Loses0%0%0%17%20%18%

Form: Barcelona W: WWWDWWW • Real Madrid W: WWWWDLWDWWL

League goals

Metric Barcelona W Real Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total13132616925
GF avg4.33.33.72.71.82.3
GA total2359716
GA avg0.70.80.71.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelona WReal Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%57%100%73%
1.586%14%73%36%
2.571%0%27%9%
3.543%0%9%9%
4.529%0%9%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelona WReal Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123303
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBarcelona WReal Madrid W
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricBarcelona WReal Madrid W
Wins34
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-12-66-22-3
Biggest losses——2-62-1
Goals For7663
Goals Against1262

Model comparison

MetricBarcelona WReal Madrid W
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h80%20%
Goals76%24%
Total70.7%29.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Barcelona W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.11 @ Superbet
Draw13.00 @ Bet365
Away21.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.17 @ Bet365
Under 2.55.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Barcelona W = 3.24 (league 1.86), Real Madrid W = 0.82 (league 1.54)

Real Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona W 0 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.1% 7.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.8% 8.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.9% 6.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.1% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.6% · Draw 10.4% · Away win 6.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1