Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 07:45 • Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.66) 0.36 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 41.5% 15.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.9%
1 - 0
25.1%
0 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Buriram United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 31.9% 11.4% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.1% 8.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.8% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne CityBuriram United
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack88%88%
Defense63%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne City Buriram United
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%50%50%75%25%50%
Draws25%25%25%25%25%25%
Loses25%25%25%0%50%25%

Form: Melbourne City: LLWWWDWD • Buriram United: WLLWDDWW

League goals

Metric Melbourne City Buriram United
HATHAT
GF total4598210
GF avg1.01.31.12.00.51.3
GA total347358
GA avg0.81.00.90.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne CityBuriram United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%75%50%
1.550%13%50%38%
2.50%0%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne CityBuriram United
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score213022

Penalties

MetricMelbourne CityBuriram United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMelbourne CityBuriram United
Wins31
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-00-1
Biggest losses0-21-0—3-0
Goals For2221
Goals Against2123

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne CityBuriram United
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h67%33%
Goals67%33%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Melbourne City or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.05 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne City = 0.79 (league 1.66), Buriram United = 0.36 (league 1.12)

Buriram United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 31.9% 11.4% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.1% 8.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.8% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 41.5% · Away win 15.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1