Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.13) 0.77 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.7% 42.4% 43.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.8%
0 - 1
26.2%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Stade Tunisien
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Marsa 0 33.8% 26.2% 10.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.5% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS MarsaStade Tunisien
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack36%45%
Defense64%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Marsa Stade Tunisien
HATHAT
Played11920111021
Wins45%22%35%73%30%52%
Draws9%0%5%27%50%38%
Loses45%78%60%0%20%10%

Form: AS Marsa: LWLDLWLLWLLWLWLLWLLW • Stade Tunisien: DWDWWWWDWWDDDLWDWWDWL

League goals

Metric AS Marsa Stade Tunisien
HATHAT
GF total8101816723
GF avg0.71.10.91.50.71.1
GA total101020257
GA avg0.91.11.00.20.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS MarsaStade Tunisien
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%65%62%29%
1.520%30%29%5%
2.55%5%14%0%
3.55%0%5%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS MarsaStade Tunisien
HATHAT
Clean sheets52710515
Failed to score5510358

Penalties

MetricAS MarsaStade Tunisien
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAS MarsaStade Tunisien
Wins14
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-64-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-0—1-0
Goals For2642
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricAS MarsaStade Tunisien
Form38%63%
Att44%56%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total38.3%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Stade Tunisien and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.87 @ 188Bet
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.43 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ Pinnacle
No1.63 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AS Marsa = 0.31 (league 1.13), Stade Tunisien = 0.77 (league 0.81)

Stade Tunisien
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Marsa 0 33.8% 26.2% 10.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.5% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 42.4% · Away win 43.8%

vtt 3 , vtd1