Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 12:00 • Stade Hedi-Enneifer
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.13) 0.22 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.8% 27.9% 6.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.2%
0 - 0
21.2%
2 - 0
18.7%
Score & goals probability table
ES Sahel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Tunisien 0 21.2% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.2% 6.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade TunisienES Sahel
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack100%80%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Tunisien ES Sahel
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins73%36%55%50%30%41%
Draws27%45%36%17%40%27%
Loses0%18%9%33%30%32%

Form: Stade Tunisien: DWDWWWWDWWDDDLWDWWDWLW • ES Sahel: LLDWDLWDLLWWWDLWLDDWWW

League goals

Metric Stade Tunisien ES Sahel
HATHAT
GF total16112713922
GF avg1.51.01.21.10.91.0
GA total25781018
GA avg0.20.50.30.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade TunisienES Sahel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%27%68%50%
1.532%5%27%18%
2.518%0%5%14%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade TunisienES Sahel
HATHAT
Clean sheets106167411
Failed to score358347

Penalties

MetricStade TunisienES Sahel
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricStade TunisienES Sahel
Wins43
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-00-2
Biggest losses—1-02-33-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricStade TunisienES Sahel
Form48%52%
Att67%33%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Stade Tunisien or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Betano
Draw2.85 @ Unibet
Away3.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.67 @ Pinnacle
No1.50 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stade Tunisien = 1.33 (league 1.13), ES Sahel = 0.22 (league 0.81)

ES Sahel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Tunisien 0 21.2% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.2% 6.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.8% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 6.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1