First League
— Armenia
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 11:30 •
Araks Stadium
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.61)
1.20 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.7% | 18.8% | 18.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Shirak II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Araks Ararat | 0 | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Shirak II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 60% | 40% |
| Defense | 10% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 19 | 3.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Shirak II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 30% | 32% | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Draws | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Loses | 56% | 60% | 58% | 78% | 56% | 67% |
Form: Araks Ararat: LWWWLLWLLLDLWLWLLDL • Shirak II: LDLLLDLLLWWDLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Shirak II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Araks Ararat | Shirak II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 79% | 56% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 47% | 39% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 21% | 11% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 6% | 39% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Shirak II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Shirak II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Shirak II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-2 | 0-5 | 8-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Shirak II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Araks Ararat or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Araks Ararat = 2.36 (league 1.61), Shirak II = 1.20 (league 1.51)
| Shirak II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Araks Ararat | 0 | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 18.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1