Wed, Apr 1 2026 • 16:45 • Allianz Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.86) 0.91 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.2% 23.5% 19.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern Munich W 0 7.1% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.3% 11.2% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayern Munich WManchester United W
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack70%40%
Defense65%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayern Munich W Manchester United W
HATHAT
Played3478513
Wins100%50%71%75%60%69%
Draws0%25%14%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%14%25%40%31%

Form: Bayern Munich W: LWWWDWW • Manchester United W: WWLWWWWLLWWWL

League goals

Metric Bayern Munich W Manchester United W
HATHAT
GF total891715722
GF avg2.72.32.41.91.41.7
GA total312157613
GA avg1.03.02.10.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayern Munich WManchester United W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%86%85%38%
1.586%57%54%23%
2.557%14%23%23%
3.50%14%8%8%
4.50%14%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayern Munich WManchester United W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101538
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricBayern Munich WManchester United W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBayern Munich WManchester United W
Wins34
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-00-3
Biggest losses—7-10-35-2
Goals For3343
Goals Against2735

Model comparison

MetricBayern Munich WManchester United W
Form59%41%
Att64%36%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total59.4%40.6%

Advice: Double chance : Bayern Munich W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.41 @ Dafabet
Draw5.25 @ Bet365
Away7.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.48 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayern Munich W = 1.74 (league 1.86), Manchester United W = 0.91 (league 1.54)

Manchester United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern Munich W 0 7.1% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.3% 11.2% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 19.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1