Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Expected Goals
3.51 (league 1.31)
0.21 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.3% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
best score tips
3 - 0
17.4%
4 - 0
15.2%
2 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Once Caldas W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente Medellín W | 0 | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.4% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 15.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Once Caldas W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 0% |
| Attack | 54% | 23% |
| Defense | 54% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Once Caldas W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 43% | 100% | 67% | 86% |
Independiente Medellín WLWDWLWL
Once Caldas WLDLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Once Caldas W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independiente Medellín W | Once Caldas W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 43% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 29% | 0% | 86% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 29% | 0% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Once Caldas W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Once Caldas W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Once Caldas W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independiente Medellín W | Once Caldas W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 75.7% | 24.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.45 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away7.50 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.17 @ Unibet
No1.80 @ 10Bet
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League standings
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