Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Independencia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.47 (league 1.46) 1.07 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.9% 17.4% 14.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
8.8%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Jalapa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Estelí 0 2.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.1% 7.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.5% 4.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal EstelíJalapa
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack82%41%
Defense82%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Estelí Jalapa
HATHAT
Played161632141529
Wins63%50%56%64%20%41%
Draws25%31%28%21%27%24%
Loses13%19%16%14%53%34%

Form: Real Estelí: WDWWWDWLWDDWDLDWWLWLWWWDLWDWWDWW • Jalapa: LLLWLLWLWWDDDWLWWLWLDDDWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Real Estelí Jalapa
HATHAT
GF total312758301848
GF avg1.91.71.82.11.21.7
GA total141428122840
GA avg0.90.90.90.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal EstelíJalapa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%59%76%62%
1.550%22%55%41%
2.531%6%21%21%
3.513%0%10%10%
4.53%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal EstelíJalapa
HATHAT
Clean sheets76137411
Failed to score516257

Penalties

MetricReal EstelíJalapa
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricReal EstelíJalapa
Wins33
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-45-00-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-25-1
Goals For6453
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricReal EstelíJalapa
Form57%43%
Att67%33%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Real Estelí or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.32 @ Unibet
Draw5.93 @ 1xBet
Away11.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.09 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.36 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Estelí = 2.47 (league 1.46), Jalapa = 1.07 (league 1.00)

Jalapa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Estelí 0 2.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.1% 7.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.5% 4.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 14.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1