Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 17:00 •
Vitebsk CSK
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.37)
0.46 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.9% | 51.6% | 27.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
44.0%
0 - 1
20.1%
1 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Dinamo Brest | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ML Vitebsk | 0 | 43.9% | 20.1% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
ML Vitebsk carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 178 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: ML Vitebsk +22.9, Dinamo Brest +2.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
ML Vitebsk
vs
Dinamo Brest
Elo gapML Vitebsk +178
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share74%
Combined Elo3273.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3273.4
Elo home share
74%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | ML Vitebsk | Dinamo Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1708 | 1565.4 |
| Form Elo | 1735.2 | 1577.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1575.1 | 1523.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1768.8 | 1544.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1701.4 | 1561 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +22.9 | +2.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. ML Vitebsk last-5 Elo change: +22.9; Dinamo Brest last-5 Elo change: +2.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ML Vitebsk | Dinamo Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 83% | 50% |
| Attack | 73% | 36% |
| Defense | 82% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ML Vitebsk | Dinamo Brest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
ML VitebskWDWW
Dinamo BrestLLWW
League goals
| Metric | ML Vitebsk | Dinamo Brest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ML Vitebsk | Dinamo Brest | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ML Vitebsk | Dinamo Brest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | ML Vitebsk | Dinamo Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ML Vitebsk | Dinamo Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ML Vitebsk | Dinamo Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 93% | 7% |
| Total | 69.7% | 30.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.05 @ Marathonbet
Away5.70 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet
📊
League standings
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