Sat, May 2 2026 • 15:00 •
Stadion Neman
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.37)
0.11 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 85.3% | 9.7% | 1.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
23.1%
3 - 0
19.1%
1 - 0
18.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Belshina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Neman | 0 | 7.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 19.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Neman carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 130 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Neman +20.7, Belshina -33.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Neman
vs
Belshina
Elo gapNeman +130
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo3094.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3094.2
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Neman | Belshina |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1594.6 | 1499.6 |
| Form Elo | 1614.3 | 1462.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1578.1 | 1506 |
| Attack Elo | 1624.5 | 1506.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1670.1 | 1517.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +20.7 | -33.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Neman last-5 Elo change: +20.7; Belshina last-5 Elo change: -33.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Neman | Belshina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 20% |
| Attack | 38% | 13% |
| Defense | 94% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Neman | Belshina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 60% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
NemanDWWWD
BelshinaWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Neman | Belshina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Neman | Belshina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 20% | 40% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 0% | 0% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Neman | Belshina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Neman | Belshina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Neman | Belshina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Neman | Belshina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 73.8% | 26.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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