Brasileiro U20 A — Brazil
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Bahia U20

—

Vitória U20

Expected Goals
4.03 (league 1.71) 1.48 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 9.9% 8.5%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.6%
3 - 1
6.5%
5 - 1
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Vitória U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bahia U20 0 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.3% 4.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.4% 6.5% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.4% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.6% 5.3% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Bahia U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 118 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bahia U20 +8.2, Vitória U20 -38.7.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Bahia U20 Elo 1662.7 · +8.2
vs
Vitória U20 Elo 1579.6 · -38.7
Elo gapBahia U20 +118
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo3242.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3242.3
Elo home share 66%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Bahia U20 Vitória U20
Overall Elo1662.71579.6
Form Elo16571551.1
Home / Away Elo1603.11501.4
Attack Elo2002.11778.1
Defense Elo16221491
Last 5 Elo change+8.2-38.7

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Bahia U20 last-5 Elo change: +8.2; Vitória U20 last-5 Elo change: -38.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBahia U20Vitória U20
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack56%39%
Defense61%6%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.417 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bahia U20 Vitória U20
HATHAT
Played437347
Wins50%33%43%67%0%29%
Draws25%0%14%0%25%14%
Loses25%67%43%33%75%57%
Bahia U20LDWWWLL
Vitória U20WDLWLLL

League goals

Metric Bahia U20 Vitória U20
HATHAT
GF total9413549
GF avg2.31.31.91.71.01.3
GA total741161218
GA avg1.81.31.62.03.02.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBahia U20Vitória U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%86%71%
1.557%43%43%57%
2.529%14%0%57%
3.514%14%0%29%
4.50%0%0%29%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBahia U20Vitória U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricBahia U20Vitória U20
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBahia U20Vitória U20
Wins31
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-1—
Biggest losses1-42-12-56-1
Goals For4322
Goals Against4256

Model comparison

MetricBahia U20Vitória U20
Form75%25%
Att59%41%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h88%13%
Goals83%17%
Total75.2%25.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Bahia U20 vs Vitória U20