Avaí U20 vs Vitória U20

Brasileiro U20 A — Brazil

Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

Avaí U20

—

Vitória U20

Expected Goals

1.75 (league 1.71) 1.07 (league 1.22)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
52.4%	23.6%	23.0%

best score tips

1 - 1

11.2%

1 - 0

10.4%

2 - 1

9.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Vitória U20
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Avaí U20	0	6.0%	6.4%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	10.4%	11.1%	5.9%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
	2	9.2%	9.8%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
	3	5.4%	5.7%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	2.3%	2.5%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.8%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Avaí U20 -5.4, Vitória U20 -38.7.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Avaí U20 Elo 1541.2 · -5.4

Vitória U20 Elo 1579.6 · -38.7

Elo gapVitória U20 +3

Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%

Expected home share50%

Combined Elo3120.8

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3120.8

Elo home share 50%

Match tone Must Watch

Metric	Avaí U20	Vitória U20
Overall Elo	1541.2	1579.6
Form Elo	1528.9	1551.1
Home / Away Elo	1494.9	1501.4
Attack Elo	1625.8	1778.1
Defense Elo	1454.5	1491
Last 5 Elo change	-5.4	-38.7

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Avaí U20 last-5 Elo change: -5.4; Vitória U20 last-5 Elo change: -38.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Avaí U20	Vitória U20
Played	5	5
Form	20%	20%
Attack	39%	39%
Defense	17%	6%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	15 \| 3	17 \| 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

70%

FT probability

3.5+

50%

FT probability

BTTS

69%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Avaí U20			Vitória U20
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	3	4	7	3	4	7
Wins	0%	0%	0%	67%	0%	29%
Draws	67%	25%	43%	0%	25%	14%
Loses	33%	75%	57%	33%	75%	57%

Avaí U20LLDDLDL

Vitória U20WDLWLLL

League goals

Metric	Avaí U20			Vitória U20
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	3	5	8	5	4	9
GF avg	1.0	1.3	1.1	1.7	1.0	1.3
GA total	4	14	18	6	12	18
GA avg	1.3	3.5	2.6	2.0	3.0	2.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Avaí U20		Vitória U20
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	57%	86%	86%	71%
1.5	29%	71%	43%	57%
2.5	29%	57%	0%	57%
3.5	0%	29%	0%	29%
4.5	0%	14%	0%	29%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Avaí U20			Vitória U20
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	1	1	2
Failed to score	2	1	3	0	1	1

Penalties

Metric	Avaí U20	Vitória U20
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	Avaí U20	Vitória U20
Wins	0	1
Draws	2	1
Losses	2	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	—	2-1	—
Biggest losses	0-1	5-1	2-5	6-1
Goals For	3	3	2	2
Goals Against	3	5	5	6

Model comparison

Metric	Avaí U20	Vitória U20
Form	50%	50%
Att	50%	50%
Def	53%	47%
Poisson Distribution	64%	36%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	75%	25%
Total	58.4%	41.6%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Avaí U20 vs Vitória U20

Metric	Avaí U20	Vitória U20
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0