Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.71)
0.42 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3% | 21.5% | 8.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
17.5%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Athletico PR U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Corinthians U20 | 0 | 11.5% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.0% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Corinthians U20 +23.1, Athletico PR U20 +4.8.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Corinthians U20
vs
Athletico PR U20
Elo gapAthletico PR U20 +11
Home / draw / away34% / 29% / 37%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo3204.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3204.6
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | Corinthians U20 | Athletico PR U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1579.5 | 1625.1 |
| Form Elo | 1604.3 | 1629.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1523.3 | 1527.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1572.7 | 1640.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1512.3 | 1619.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +23.1 | +4.8 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Corinthians U20 last-5 Elo change: +23.1; Athletico PR U20 last-5 Elo change: +4.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Corinthians U20 | Athletico PR U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 40% | 67% |
| Defense | 73% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Corinthians U20 | Athletico PR U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 67% | 29% |
Corinthians U20WDWLDDW
Athletico PR U20LWLDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Corinthians U20 | Athletico PR U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Corinthians U20 | Athletico PR U20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 100% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 71% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 14% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Corinthians U20 | Athletico PR U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Corinthians U20 | Athletico PR U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Corinthians U20 | Athletico PR U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Corinthians U20 | Athletico PR U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 6% | 94% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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