Brasileiro U20 A — Brazil
Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 21:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Cruzeiro U20

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Palmeiras U20

Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.71) 1.52 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.0% 22.0% 30.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Palmeiras U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro U20 0 3.2% 4.8% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.2% 9.3% 7.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.9% 5.8% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away lean

Palmeiras U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 37 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Cruzeiro U20 +22.3, Palmeiras U20 +17.9.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Cruzeiro U20 Elo 1690.2 · +22.3
vs
Palmeiras U20 Elo 1762 · +17.9
Elo gapPalmeiras U20 +37
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share45%
Combined Elo3452.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3452.2
Elo home share 45%
Match tone Must Watch
Metric Cruzeiro U20 Palmeiras U20
Overall Elo1690.21762
Form Elo1706.41775.7
Home / Away Elo1615.71624.5
Attack Elo1826.42011.4
Defense Elo1636.51690.1
Last 5 Elo change+22.3+17.9

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Cruzeiro U20 last-5 Elo change: +22.3; Palmeiras U20 last-5 Elo change: +17.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruzeiro U20Palmeiras U20
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack93%80%
Defense67%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruzeiro U20 Palmeiras U20
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins100%25%63%40%100%63%
Draws0%50%25%60%0%38%
Loses0%25%13%0%0%0%
Cruzeiro U20WLWWWDWD
Palmeiras U20WDWWWWDD

League goals

Metric Cruzeiro U20 Palmeiras U20
HATHAT
GF total13518121123
GF avg3.31.32.32.43.72.9
GA total25710313
GA avg0.51.30.92.01.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruzeiro U20Palmeiras U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%100%88%
1.563%25%88%63%
2.550%13%63%13%
3.513%0%25%0%
4.513%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruzeiro U20Palmeiras U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricCruzeiro U20Palmeiras U20
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCruzeiro U20Palmeiras U20
Wins34
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-13-22-5
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For5335
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricCruzeiro U20Palmeiras U20
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h20%80%
Goals23%77%
Total43.5%56.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Cruzeiro U20 vs Palmeiras U20