Iraqi League — Iraq
Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 20:15 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.18) 0.93 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 29.6% 28.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Mosul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Zawra'a 0 12.2% 11.2% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.3% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.5% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl Zawra'aMosul
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack55%45%
Defense36%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Zawra'a Mosul
HATHAT
Played991881018
Wins56%33%44%25%40%33%
Draws22%56%39%13%30%22%
Loses22%11%17%63%30%44%

Form: Al Zawra'a: DDLWWWWWDDDWWDDWLL • Mosul: LWWLLWDDDLLLWWLLDW

League goals

Metric Al Zawra'a Mosul
HATHAT
GF total13102371118
GF avg1.41.11.30.91.11.0
GA total8715141024
GA avg0.90.80.81.81.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl Zawra'aMosul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%50%56%78%
1.539%28%33%39%
2.511%6%11%17%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl Zawra'aMosul
HATHAT
Clean sheets459044
Failed to score235358

Penalties

MetricAl Zawra'aMosul
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricAl Zawra'aMosul
Wins52
Draws33
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-32-10-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-33-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricAl Zawra'aMosul
Form42%58%
Att55%45%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Al Zawra'a or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Zawra'a = 1.18 (league 1.18), Mosul = 0.93 (league 1.07)

Mosul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Zawra'a 0 12.2% 11.2% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.3% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.5% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 28.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1