Baiano - 1
— Brazil
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 20:00 •
Barradao
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.54)
0.20 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3% | 27.3% | 5.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
28.8%
0 - 0
21.3%
2 - 0
19.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Jacuipense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitoria | 0 | 21.3% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.8% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.5% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitoria | Jacuipense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 42% | 37% |
| Defense | 84% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitoria | Jacuipense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 60% | 25% | 44% | 60% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 20% | 75% | 44% | 20% | 75% | 44% |
| Loses | 20% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
VitoriaDDDWLWDWW
JacuipenseLDDWDLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Vitoria | Jacuipense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitoria | Jacuipense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 56% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 11% | 56% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitoria | Jacuipense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitoria | Jacuipense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitoria | Jacuipense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitoria | Jacuipense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 67.3% | 32.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.40 @ William Hill
Draw4.65 @ 188Bet
Away9.00 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.93 @ SBO
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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