Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 21:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.35 (league 1.53) 0.37 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.7% 13.7% 4.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.2%
1 - 0
15.5%
3 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sport Recife
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nautico Recife 0 6.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.5% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 6.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 5.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNautico RecifeSport Recife
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack60%67%
Defense60%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nautico Recife Sport Recife
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins75%83%80%83%25%60%
Draws0%17%10%17%50%30%
Loses25%0%10%0%25%10%

Form: Nautico Recife: WWWWWLWWWD • Sport Recife: DWLWWDWWWD

League goals

Metric Nautico Recife Sport Recife
HATHAT
GF total8172518422
GF avg2.02.82.53.01.02.2
GA total1676713
GA avg0.31.00.71.01.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNautico RecifeSport Recife
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%40%90%60%
1.580%20%70%40%
2.550%10%40%20%
3.530%0%10%10%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNautico RecifeSport Recife
HATHAT
Clean sheets336314
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricNautico RecifeSport Recife
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNautico RecifeSport Recife
Wins53
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-45-00-1
Biggest losses0-1——4-0
Goals For4452
Goals Against1334

Model comparison

MetricNautico RecifeSport Recife
Form48%52%
Att47%53%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Nautico Recife or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Betano
Draw2.88 @ 10Bet
Away4.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.83 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nautico Recife = 2.35 (league 1.53), Sport Recife = 0.37 (league 0.81)

Sport Recife
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nautico Recife 0 6.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.5% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 6.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 5.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.7% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 4.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1