Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 21:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.51)
0.29 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.8% | 12.6% | 3.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
19.7%
1 - 0
16.5%
3 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sport Recife | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nautico Recife | 0 | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.7% | 5.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.6% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 73% |
| Attack | 60% | 67% |
| Defense | 60% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 75% | 83% | 80% | 83% | 25% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 10% | 17% | 50% | 30% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 25% | 10% |
Nautico RecifeWWWWWLWWWD
Sport RecifeDWLWWDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 17 | 25 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 40% | 90% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | 70% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 10% | 40% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 0% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away4.03 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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