Cup — Estonia
Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 16:00 • Paide linnastaadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 3.67) 0.95 (league 2.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.4% 35.4% 43.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.8%
0 - 1
20.7%
1 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tallinna Kalev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paide 0 21.8% 20.7% 9.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.5% 11.9% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaideTallinna Kalev
Played23
Form100%100%
Attack29%76%
Defense94%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.513 | 4.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paide Tallinna Kalev
HATHAT
Played112033
Wins100%100%100%—100%100%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—0%0%

Form: Paide: WW • Tallinna Kalev: WWW

League goals

Metric Paide Tallinna Kalev
HATHAT
GF total32501313
GF avg3.02.02.50.04.34.3
GA total011022
GA avg0.01.00.50.00.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaideTallinna Kalev
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%67%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.550%0%67%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaideTallinna Kalev
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPaideTallinna Kalev
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPaideTallinna Kalev
Wins23
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2—1-8
Biggest losses————
Goals For3208
Goals Against0101

Model comparison

MetricPaideTallinna Kalev
Form40%60%
Att28%72%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals82%18%
Total57.6%42.4%

Advice: Double chance : Paide or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.09 @ Bet365
Draw13.07 @ Pinnacle
Away29.00 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.21 @ Unibet
Under 2.54.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paide = 0.57 (league 3.67), Tallinna Kalev = 0.95 (league 2.26)

Tallinna Kalev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paide 0 21.8% 20.7% 9.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.5% 11.9% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.4% · Draw 35.4% · Away win 43.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1